Week 1 in the NFL Pool

Sep 15 2009 Published by under Uncategorized

Wow, crazy week one in the NFL. Both Monday night games were supposed to be blow-outs but both were decided late in the game. In the case of the Patriots, things looked very ugly until a bone-headed play by an over-eager kick off return man resulted in them getting the ball back and a second life with about a minute left in the game. But that's week one. All we know is what the teams look like on paper until they get out on the field.

As for the forecasting abilities of scientists who blog, it turns out that we have a very narrow distribution. Picking against the spread, the highest number of games correctly predicted was 9, while the lowest was 7. Based on a set of tie-breakers, TomJoe of Micro World has been named the winner of this week, locked in a 5-way tie for most correct picks with myself, Odyssey, DGT and Chall. We'll have to get DGT to create a weekly trophy to be displayed on blogs, once she returns from her tour of the east coast. For now we can use this overly patriotic replica of the Super Bowl trophy. This week, you'll find it at MicroWorld

15 responses so far

  • Odyssey says:

    Ha! A five way tie. Just imagine how much butt-kicking I would have done if I actually knew something about "football." You'd all be wearing Depends for a week!

  • Professor in Training says:

    I'm pretty darned happy with picking 8 correct games, especially considering I haven't watched one minute of football this year. Guys in helmets and tights isn't that appealing for some reason 🙂

  • Prof-like Substance says:

    It's early foreigners, you've got 16 more weeks to guess randomly during the regular season...

  • Professor in Training says:

    Who's guessing randomly? I'll have you know that I have a system in place.

  • Prof-like Substance says:

    Colo(u)rs or geography are not systems.

  • Ink says:

    I'm doing herkies in anticipation!

  • Odyssey says:

    Colours or geography?!?!? What nonsense. Nothing beats the predictive power of reading coffee grounds.

  • Professor in Training says:

    Hey, my SYSTEM netted me a 50% strike rate this round. Tell me that's not effective! It's a lot more efficient from a time-management perspective than spending hours actually watching the games and poring over stats.And for what it's worth, there IS a "u" in colours. And an extra vowel in aluminium.

  • Prof-like Substance says:

    And an extra syllable. Al-Lu-Min-E-Um.Odyssey, I think Dr. No could help you with next week's predictions.

  • Odyssey says:

    No, no. You need to carefully consider the grounds in the bottom of your cup after an excellent cup of Peet's (or preferably Illy). Coffee machines that spew the stuff all over the place clearly won't work. And I've already completed next week's predictions. I managed that with yesterday's coffee ration.And PiT can spell correctly. Unfortunately her mathematics are a little shaky. Her system netted precisely the same strike rate as guessing would be expected to. Of course those of us in the top tier didn't really do much better...

  • Professor in Training says:

    I'm a physiologist, not a mathematician and I never suggested my system was perfect but it is a system nonetheless. My objection was to PLS's assertion that I was guessing randomly. There's no guesswork involved in my system, I can assure you. It's all based on scientific principles.

  • Ambivalent Academic says:

    :(I lost. Yep, that's me with the 7, based on what I thought was a superior system: In this match, if the mascots were to get into a fight, who would win? Of course, my predicted outcome in the mascot brawls was entirely based on conjecture. Still, 7/16 is not entirely bad going. Hell, Mendelian genetics rarely lives up to the statistical probabilities in real life. (Grrrr....this was supposed to be the last trial of this blasted experiment but I got 1 (one!) sample that had the right genotype.) Probability can kiss my ass.Nonetheless, I have a new system in place for this week's picks. I'm not telling what it is. Look out muppethuggers!

  • Hermitage says:

    Urgh, what's that bitter taste in my mouth? Oh yea, the reminder that the fing Pats lived to ruin my life another day. *shakes fist*

  • chall says:

    ahh... the last 5 mins of the Patriots' game I was shouting at the idiot who dropped the ball. I mean really?!?!? And no, I am not a Buffalo fan but it would have been sweet if the Brady gang would¨ve lost the first game of the season.It all coming back to me.... AGGRESSION is the name of the game :)Let's see what happens week 2. THanks PLS for setting this up. I look forward to it so much!!

  • Thomas Joseph says:

    Thank you, thank you very much. I won't gloat.Ok, maybe a little bit!If I had remembered division rivalries are hardly ever high scoring (see Colts v. Jags) I may have had 11 wins!

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